Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.110671 5.549605 6.037669 6.626719 7.326994 8.144465 9.189137
2025-01-19 4.336179 4.857381 5.472128 6.267277 7.295482 8.623232 10.550653
2025-01-26 4.066709 4.693341 5.476653 6.565865 8.113688 10.376141 14.296124
2025-02-02 3.985702 4.742927 5.749499 7.268065 9.690127 13.886977 23.622778
2025-02-09 3.792672 4.617925 5.768060 7.622702 10.900572 17.650429 40.659231
2025-02-16 3.592682 4.455967 5.706882 7.843676 12.000175 22.296797 86.480050
2025-02-23 3.393070 4.269975 5.580886 7.930568 12.910911 27.846326 363.248914
2025-03-02 3.133709 3.970825 5.241115 7.572705 12.739750 30.060904 NaN
2025-03-09 2.960367 3.784124 5.058348 7.471051 13.152580 35.709524 NaN
2025-03-16 2.755412 3.533681 4.746271 7.069802 12.674454 36.626415 NaN
2025-03-23 2.656716 3.438083 4.680257 7.142332 13.516196 48.314267 NaN
2025-03-30 2.546634 3.316288 4.557132 7.076582 13.952931 60.726735 NaN
2025-04-06 2.390004 3.124517 4.319216 6.782658 13.745286 69.871387 NaN
2025-04-13 2.240602 2.936101 4.073396 6.440626 13.278677 75.353849 NaN
2025-04-20 2.200907 2.920076 4.129937 6.780504 15.460757 245.467629 NaN
2025-04-27 2.210068 2.983911 4.339907 7.549315 20.592937 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.170629 2.963397 4.389716 7.948102 25.108745 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.118558 2.917077 4.383554 8.201009 29.742645 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.057627 2.850863 4.329857 8.306111 33.953706 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.962876 2.719674 4.130843 7.925407 32.419637 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.897279 2.636693 4.025622 7.820516 34.142569 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.811092 2.513198 3.827277 7.389420 31.222202 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.770383 2.468617 3.791069 7.470595 35.315740 NaN NaN